Wise Artificer's Insight

To give a player thinking about making an Artifact or other complex project in Exalted 3rd Edition some insight into their likelihood of success. A master craftsman of any discipline has awareness of their skill and should be able to judge what projects are trivial for them or beyond their skills. This can be difficult because of the complex die manipulation powers available to Solars in Exalted 3rd Edition. This program provides the crafter insight into their level of skill by providing a basic statistical analysis on a large number of crafting attempts.

Enter the statistics of the character doing the Crafting project and the Charms they want to use in the Attempt Settings form. All Charms are applied uniformly to all Crafting rolls as part of a project attempt. You can also change the number of crafting attempts to try in the Statistics Options section at the bottom. More attempts will produce more accurate statistics but will take longer to run.
To use this program you will need a copy of the Exalted 3rd Edition core rulebook, to reference the Crafting rules on pages 238-244 and Solar Craft Charms on pages 289-299. This program is not a replacement for those rules and does not explain how Crafting works, detail what any of the Charms do, calculate costs, or enforce legal choices for Charms use. It will let you use Charms above your permanent Essence score or enable Charms without prerequisite or dependent Charms.
In order to calculate statistics this program requires a minimum of 10 crafting attempts rolled at a time. Therefore it cannot be used for a final in-game crafting attempt. This is intentional, as you may wish to use different Charms on different rolls, which this program cannot do. Plus, you should probably make those rolls somewhere where your Storyteller can see.
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Crafting Rules
- Difficulty (>=1):
- Terminus (>=1):
- Target Threshold Successes (>=1):
Character Statistics
- Relevant Craft:
  0 1 2 3 4 5
- Craft (Artifact):
  0 1 2 3 4 5 Not crafting Artifact
- Craft Speciality:
- Attribute used in Craft roll:
  1 2 3 4 5
- Intelligence (Value used in some Charms):
  1 2 3 4 5
- Permanent Essence:
  1 2 3 4 5
Per Roll Options
- Stunt Dice:
  0 2
- Stunt Successes:
  0 1 2
- Spending Willpower:
External Non-Charm Modifiers
- Exceptional Equipment:
- Storyteller Non-Charm modifier Dice:
- Storyteller Non-Charm modifier Successes:
Charms
- Full Craft Excellency:
- Essence 1
  - Flawless Handiwork Method:
  - Flawless Handiwork Method Repurchase:
  - Supreme Masterwork Focus:
  - Supreme Masterwork Focus Repurchase:
  - Supreme Masterwork Focus 2nd Repurchase:
- Essence 2
  - Experiential Conjuring of True Void:
  - Unbroken Image Focus (Purchase Max Allowed):
  - First Movement of the Demiurge:
  - Breach-Healing Method:
- Essence 3
  - Divine Inspiration Technique:
  - Inspiration Renewing Vision: number of free attempts:
  - Mind-Expanding Meditation:
  - Realizing the Form Supernal:
  - Word-as-Workshop Method: non-charm bonus dice:
- Essence 4
  - Holistic Miracle Understanding:
  - Horizon Unveiling Insight:
  - Unwinding Gyre Meditation: previous iterations:
- Essence 5
  - Sun-Heart Tenacity:
Statistics Options
- Number of Crafting Attempts (>=10):

Mean threshold successes per attempt: μ =

Standard Deviation of threshold successes per attempt: σ =

Median of threshold successes per attempt:

Percent of attempts with equal to or greater than minimum threshold: %

Initial size of crafting die pools:

Wise Artificer's Insight is neither affiliated with nor endorsed by White Wolf Publishing AB or Onyx Path Publishing